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  • a review of state-by-state polls and historical voting data by bloomberg news shows bush ahead in 19 states, including texas and idaho, with 153 electoral votes. kerry leads in 12 states, including new york and new jersey, with 179 electoral votes. in 19 states that have 206 electoral votes, including ohio and wisconsin, the most recent polling results are within the margin of error.he is right.
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