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  • -cycle parametrization with restricted periods of 5 and 12 years ??? the rank of the 4 ?? 4 cycle variance matrices ???? is 2: common cyles ... ??? we load the two ???independent??? cycles on France and Germany, i.e. cyclical dynamics of Spain and Italy are obtained as linear functions of the two times two (short and long) cyclical factors 53 / 91 54.
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